One of the most important choices you'll have to make as an investor is where to place your money. This is true whether you're trying to save for retirement, generate income, fund your child's education, spend your money, or impress others with your investment prowess.
Stocks and bonds are the two most typical investments for novice investors. Exactly how do you evaluate available options before making a purchase? It's important to include a short time horizon and the possibility of market volatility, as we experienced in 2020.
The standard deviation and beta are two popular metrics used to assess the potential danger of a financial venture. The risk associated with an investment as a percentage of the whole market is quantified by its beta. Investments with betas over 1.0 are more than the market. Betas less than 1 indicate that an investment is less likely to fluctuate than the overall market.
The investment's level of uncertainty is quantified by its standard deviation. More stable returns correspond to a smaller standard deviation. A higher standard deviation means that returns are less predictable, which increases the risk of an asset.
A sample of beta, standard deviation, and returns for three different types of index funds—one that invests in the S&P 500, another that invests only in bonds, and a third that invests only in smaller companies.
Note that both the S&P 500 index investment and the bond investment account have a beta of 1. That's because such funds are typical of the overall stock and bond markets.
Remember that the small-capitalization fund has a beta of 1.17, making it more volatile than the benchmark it uses to measure performance, the Russell 2000 growth index. As expected, the bond fund has a smaller standard deviation, less risk, and a lower return.
When stocks did better than bonds, they are presented in blue, whereas when bonds performed better than stocks, they are displayed in orange. A sea of blue fills the chart. There doesn't seem to be much of a decision-making process when investing in stocks; bonds look like a poor alternative. Investment success may be gauged by more than just returns, it seems.
The amount of time until you require the money is a major factor in deciding how to invest. If you're in the early to mid stages of your work and saving for retirement timeline is likely to be more than 10 years. However, if you are an aggressive trader, you are likely seeking returns within a few weeks.
See how equities and bonds have fared across 10-year time intervals from 1938 to 2019. The annualized rate of return over the last decade is calculated by rolling the returns from each year back to the beginning. The year 1950, for instance, stands for the compounded annual return for the decade 1940–1950.
Bonds seem more appealing when considering a 10-year time frame since 10-year returns are "smoother" than yearly results. Also note that 1938 through 1940, which indicate the lingering effects of the Great Depression, are the only stock market down years within 10-year periods. In contrast, the stock market has seen 19 down years overall over this time.
This demonstrates the value of diversifying a portfolio away from its heavy reliance on stocks by including some bonds for stability and protection against the risk of the stock market's ups and downs.
Considering the degree of risk you're taking, how can you ensure that the return on your investment is enough? The ratio is a metric for evaluating risk and return. The ratio will represent an asset's high volatility with poor returns. The target should be 1 or above for the ratio. Compare the ratios of an S&P, a bond and fund index, and a fund focused on massive growth businesses.
In terms of performance, the 500 S&P stock index fund performs better than stock index funds and bond index funds. A growth fund provides a better yield than an S&P 500 fund compared to growth and bond funds.
Asset allocation is selecting how much of your money to invest in bonds, cash, stocks, and other assets like property investment or commodities markets to get the greatest return for your risk tolerance.
You should see a financial advisor if you are a novice investor or lack time to learn the ropes. The Balance is not a licensed financial, investing, or tax advisory service.
This information may not be right for all investors because it was written without considering any person's goals, risk tolerance, or financial situation. It is important to remember that past results do not guarantee future success. There is always a chance of losing money while investing.
Retail investors, on average, underperform the market year after year. When times are bad, they lose more money; when times are good, they make less. You need not be a professional investor, however. Think critically about the level of danger you're willing to accept. Avoid chasing returns unless you are an active trader and adopt a longer-term perspective.